Question

Will the White Sox lose 120 or more games in the 2024 MLB season?

Resolved:Yes

43 comments43

Total Forecasters26

Community Prediction

99.4%

(99% - 99.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99.4%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

62.6

Community Peer Score

5.5

Authors:

DavidHume

Opened:

Aug 18, 2024

Closes:

Sep 29, 2024

Resolves:

Sep 29, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 21, 2024

Sports & Entertainment

2024 Leaderboard

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New York Times•Jun 17, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Colorado Rockies lose 122 or more games in the 2025 MLB season?

29%

Will at least one All-Star from the NFL, NBA, MLB, or NHL be banned or suspended for sports betting before 2026?

5.4%

Will the S&P 500 index experience a drawdown of at least 40% before 2027?

26%

Authors:

DavidHume

Opened:

Aug 18, 2024

Closes:

Sep 29, 2024

Resolves:

Sep 29, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 21, 2024

Sports & Entertainment

2024 Leaderboard

MLB Power Rankings: Another new No. 1? Mets make their way back to the top, plus a top-10 debut

New York Times•Jun 17, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Colorado Rockies lose 122 or more games in the 2025 MLB season?

29%

Will at least one All-Star from the NFL, NBA, MLB, or NHL be banned or suspended for sports betting before 2026?

5.4%

Will the S&P 500 index experience a drawdown of at least 40% before 2027?

26%