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21
comments
19
forecasters
Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025?
United Kingdom
result:
Yes
United States
result:
Yes
Zambia
result:
Yes
12 others
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Timeline
In the News
Key Factors
Question Info
Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
United Kingdom
United States
Zambia
Others (12)
Resolution Criteria
Background Info
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Authors:
NMorrison
Opened:
Aug 16, 2024
Closes:
Dec 31, 2024
Resolved:
Feb 27, 2025
Health & Pandemics
🏆 2024 Leaderboard
News Match
US public health officials vigilant as newer mpox variant detected
Guardian
•
Nov 1, 2025
Urgent warning over rise in deadlier mpox cases in Europe and US as UK officials fear virus may be spreading undetected
Daily Mail
•
Oct 29, 2025
Canada is poised to lose its measles elimination status — and the US could, too
CNN
•
Oct 27, 2025
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about Metaculus NewsMatch
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