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Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026?

0.1%chance

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Authors:

johnnycaffeine RyanBeck

Opened:

Aug 20, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 23, 2024

Nuclear Technology & Risks

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