32 comments
107 forecasters
If Trump is re-elected, will he achieve a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine war during his term?
65%chance
Forecast Timeline
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Aug 29, 2024
Closes:Jan 30, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 30, 2029
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 5, 2024
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2026?
6% chance
1.8k
When will a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict first go into effect?
74 forecasters
If a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict goes into effect in 2025, how long will it last?
82 forecasters