Question

Will the decision to reallocate the bronze medal in the women's floor exercise at the 2024 Paris Olympics from the US to Romania be overturned before October 1, 2024?

Resolved:No

49 comments49

Total Forecasters31

Community Prediction

(3.5% - 6.5%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 5%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score

0.0

Community Baseline Score

0.0

Authors:

Tom_Metaculus

Opened:

Aug 21, 2024

Closes:

Aug 22, 2024

Resolves:

Oct 2, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 22, 2024

Include Bots:Yes

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Will the decision to reallocate the bronze medal in the women's floor exercise at the 2024 Paris Olympics from the US to Romania be overturned before 2026?

0.7%

Will a court change the winner of a 2026 election for U.S. House, Senate, or a top statewide office?

15%

Before 2027, will a federal court of appeals overturn a pre-Loper Bright decision that relied on Chevron deference, citing the Supreme Court’s ruling in Loper Bright as the primary reason?

80%

Authors:

Tom_Metaculus

Opened:

Aug 21, 2024

Closes:

Aug 22, 2024

Resolves:

Oct 2, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 22, 2024

Include Bots:Yes

Q3 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

2024 Leaderboard

Olympic champion Imane Khelif appeals World Boxing genetic sex test ruling

New York Post•Sep 2, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the decision to reallocate the bronze medal in the women's floor exercise at the 2024 Paris Olympics from the US to Romania be overturned before 2026?

0.7%

Will a court change the winner of a 2026 election for U.S. House, Senate, or a top statewide office?

15%

Before 2027, will a federal court of appeals overturn a pre-Loper Bright decision that relied on Chevron deference, citing the Supreme Court’s ruling in Loper Bright as the primary reason?

80%