32 forecasters

Will Yahya Sinwar cease to be the acting Chairman of the Hamas Political Bureau before October 1, 2024?

50%chance

50%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 50% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Aug 21, 2024

Closes:

Aug 22, 2024

Resolved:

Oct 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 22, 2024

Include Bots:Yes

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