49 comments
32 forecasters
Will Yahya Sinwar cease to be the acting Chairman of the Hamas Political Bureau before October 1, 2024?
50%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 50% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Aug 21, 2024
Closes:Aug 22, 2024
Resolved:Oct 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 22, 2024
Include Bots:Yes
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