54 comments
34 forecasters
Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by October 1, 2024?
2%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 2% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Aug 22, 2024
Closes:Aug 23, 2024
Resolved:Oct 2, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 23, 2024
Include Bots:Yes