29 forecasters

Will the CDC's assessment of the risk posed by mpox to the US general public exceed "High" before October 1, 2024?

10%chance

10%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 10% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Aug 23, 2024

Closes:

Aug 24, 2024

Resolved:

Oct 2, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 24, 2024

Include Bots:Yes

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WHO chief says mpox outbreak in Africa is no longer a global health emergency

PBS NewsHour•Sep 6, 2025

Mpox no longer international health emergency but remains concern in Africa

Al Jazeera•Sep 5, 2025

Mpox outbreak in Africa is no longer a global health emergency, WHO chief says

Associated Press•Sep 5, 2025

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