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12 forecasters
2
0 comments
12 forecasters
Conditional Cup
condition

Countries confirm Clade I mpox?

Resolved:Yes
12 forecasters
if yes
if no

HHS mpox public health emergency--Oct 1 2024?

5%
5%
Resolved:No

HHS mpox public health emergency--Oct 1 2024?

1%
1%
Resolved:Annulled
if No1%
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10 comments15 forecasters

# of US Clade I Mpox cases before 2027?

Current estimate
37.6 cases
1 comment4 forecasters

How many confirmed mpox cases for the following years (2025+)?

2 comments96 forecasters

Will Bird Flu be declared a PHEIC before 2030?

51%chance
7 comments37 forecasters

Will the US lose measles elimination status before 2027?

80%chance
12 comments25 forecasters

Will there be a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2027?

5%chance
18 comments103 forecasters

Hantavirus PHEIC before 2027?

1%chance
1 comment9 forecasters

Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2040?

50%chance
2 comments21 forecasters

WHO announce non-H5N1 Pandemic in 2030

18%chance