Question
How Many States or Jurisdictions Will Decide the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Resolved:3Total Forecasters9
Community Prediction
3.91
(2.4 - 4.93)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 2.399 | — |
| median | 3.914 | — |
| upper 75% | 4.926 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >10 | 0.2% | — |
What was the final result?3
Community Baseline Score
87.3
Community Peer Score
37.8
Authors:
Opened:Aug 27, 2024
Closes:Nov 4, 2024
Resolves:Nov 8, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 30, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Aug 27, 2024
Closes:Nov 4, 2024
Resolves:Nov 8, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 30, 2024
