Question
When, before 2040, will George R. R. Martin's "The Winds of Winter" be released?
Total Forecasters19
Community Prediction
Dec 2034
(17 Oct 2029 - >Jan 2040)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <01 Jan 2026 | 7.8% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 17 Oct 2029 | — |
| median | Dec 2034 | — |
| upper 75% | >Jan 2040 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2040 | 26.1% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Sep 3, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2039
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 6, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Sep 3, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2039
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 6, 2024