17 comments
19 forecasters
When, before 2040, will George R. R. Martin's "The Winds of Winter" be released?
Current estimate
Oct 2033
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Authors:
Opened:Sep 3, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2039
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 6, 2024
When will George R. R. Martin's “The Winds of Winter” be released?
>31 Dec 2026
(>31 Dec 2026 - >31 Dec 2026)
>31 Dec 2026
(>31 Dec 2026 - >31 Dec 2026)
31 forecasters
Will George R. R. Martin publish the sixth novel in "A Song of Ice and Fire" before Patrick Rothfuss publishes the third novel in "The Kingkiller Chronicle"?
30% chance
28
When will the last Metaculus question resolution occur?
Feb 2047
(Sep 2033 - 2105)
Feb 2047
(Sep 2033 - 2105)
113 forecasters