Question

Will Allan Lichtman’s September 2024 prediction of the electoral college winner for the 2024 US Presidential Election be correct?

Resolved:No

9 comments9

Total Forecasters35

Community Prediction

57.5%

(50% - 66%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 57.5%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-21.5

Community Peer Score

29.0

Authors:

johnnycaffeine Skoogeer

Opened:

Sep 3, 2024

Closes:

Sep 20, 2024

Resolves:

Nov 6, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 5, 2024

Politics

2024 Leaderboard

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