33 forecasters

Will there be a frontier open-source AI model on October 1, 2024?

47.8%chance

47.8%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 48% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Sep 2, 2024

Closes:

Sep 3, 2024

Resolved:

Oct 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 3, 2024

Include Bots:Yes

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