20 comments
213 forecasters
Before 2025, will laws be in place requiring that AI systems that emulate humans must reveal to people that they are AI?
23%chance
Annulled
The community gave this a 23% chance, and it resolved Annulled.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jun 10, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2025
Resolved:Nov 19, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 12, 2019
Before 2035, will the major science funding agencies NIH and NSF require formal reporting of AI involvement in research outputs as a condition of funding?
62% chance
24
Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?
5% chance
150
Will AI be given legal rights or be protected from abuse anywhere in the United States before 2035?
18% chance
1.2k