Question

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

22 comments22

Total Forecasters74

Community Prediction86% (75% - 95%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 86%

Authors:

EdwardStoppard pashka24 anna.k.hennig

Opened:

Sep 11, 2024

Closes:

Jun 29, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jun 30, 2025

Verity

Geopolitics

2024-2025 Leaderboard

Ukraine forces likely to pull out of Russia’s Kursk region within two weeks: sources

New York Post•Mar 8, 2025

Russia is advancing in Kursk, threatening Ukraine’s sole territorial bargaining counter

CNN•Mar 9, 2025

Russia is advancing in Kursk, threatening Ukraine’s sole territorial bargaining counter

•Mar 10, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026?

0.1%

Will 900,000 Russian personnel losses be reported before March 21, 2025?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

16%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

EdwardStoppard pashka24 anna.k.hennig

Opened:

Sep 11, 2024

Closes:

Jun 29, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jun 30, 2025

Verity

Geopolitics

2024-2025 Leaderboard

Ukraine forces likely to pull out of Russia’s Kursk region within two weeks: sources

New York Post•Mar 8, 2025

Russia is advancing in Kursk, threatening Ukraine’s sole territorial bargaining counter

CNN•Mar 9, 2025

Russia is advancing in Kursk, threatening Ukraine’s sole territorial bargaining counter

•Mar 10, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026?

0.1%

Will 900,000 Russian personnel losses be reported before March 21, 2025?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

16%