Question

Will Starliner Calypso undock from ISS before September 16?

Resolved:Yes

62 comments62

Total Forecasters36

Community Prediction

85%

(76.6% - 93%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 85%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

0.0

Community Peer Score

0.0

Authors:

Tom_Metaculus

Opened:

Sep 4, 2024

Closes:

Sep 5, 2024

Resolves:

Sep 7, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 5, 2024

Include Bots:Yes

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90%

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Authors:

Tom_Metaculus

Opened:

Sep 4, 2024

Closes:

Sep 5, 2024

Resolves:

Sep 7, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 5, 2024

Include Bots:Yes

Q3 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

2024 Leaderboard

SpaceX, NASA target June 19 for launch of private Ax-4 astronauts after ISS leak repairs

•Jun 17, 2025

Axiom Space back on track for possible Space Coast launch next week

•Jun 15, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Boeing Starliner Commercial Crew program be canceled before its first operational flight?

38%

Will NASA replace the Space Launch System (SLS) with another launch vehicle for its Artemis missions before 2030?

90%