25 comments
218 forecasters
Will NASA's SLS launch a person to the Moon before 2024?
0.1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 0% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jun 23, 2019
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolved:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 25, 2019
When will NASA's SLS first launch a person to the Moon?
16 Sep 2029
(10 Feb 2028 - Aug 2031)
16 Sep 2029
(10 Feb 2028 - Aug 2031)
119 forecasters
When will Artemis 2 successfully complete its mission?
17 Nov 2026
(25 May 2026 - 30 Jul 2027)
17 Nov 2026
(25 May 2026 - 30 Jul 2027)
24 forecasters
Will NASA replace the Space Launch System (SLS) with another launch vehicle for its Artemis missions before 2030?
90% chance
12