102 comments
686 forecasters
Will no non-test nuclear weapons be detonated by January 1, 2024?
99%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 99% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jun 21, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolved:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 22, 2019