Question

Are we in a simulated reality? Part II

22 comments22

Total Forecasters281

Community Prediction

15%

(2% - 41%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 15%

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Jul 15, 2016

Closed:

Jan 1, 2020

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2100

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 15, 2016

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Unity (game engine)

Video game development

Assuming our future simulates us, what will be the first peer-reviewed guesses of our instantiation date?

13.1

Do we live in a false vacuum?

50%

Will human brain emulation be the first successful route to human-level digital intelligence?

1.5%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Jul 15, 2016

Closed:

Jan 1, 2020

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2100

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 15, 2016

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Unity (game engine)

Video game development

Assuming our future simulates us, what will be the first peer-reviewed guesses of our instantiation date?

13.1

Do we live in a false vacuum?

50%

Will human brain emulation be the first successful route to human-level digital intelligence?

1.5%