33 forecasters

Will the US weekly 30-year fixed mortgage rate be above 6.35% on October 1, 2024, according to Freddie Mac?

38%chance

38%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 38% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Sep 9, 2024

Closes:

Sep 10, 2024

Resolved:

Oct 2, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 10, 2024

Include Bots:Yes

Q3 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

2024 Leaderboard

How does the Fed influence mortgage rates? Here's what to know as policymakers consider trimming borrowing costs.

CBS•Sep 16, 2025

Home mortgage demand surges as rates drop to 6.35%

NPR Online News•Sep 11, 2025

Average rate on a 30-year mortgage falls to lowest level in nearly a year

Associated Press•Sep 11, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch