Question

Will Rivian make any posts at its Stories site before October 1, 2024?

Resolved:Yes

55 comments55

Total Forecasters31

Community Prediction

75%

(65% - 84%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 75%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

0.0

Community Peer Score

0.0

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Sep 11, 2024

Closes:

Sep 12, 2024

Resolves:

Sep 18, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 12, 2024

Include Bots:Yes

Q3 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

2024 Leaderboard

Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?

24%

Will electric vehicles make up more than 10% of new light duty vehicle sales in the United States before October 2025?

18%

Will Boeing file for bankruptcy before January 1, 2026?

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Sep 11, 2024

Closes:

Sep 12, 2024

Resolves:

Sep 18, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 12, 2024

Include Bots:Yes

Q3 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

2024 Leaderboard

Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?

24%

Will electric vehicles make up more than 10% of new light duty vehicle sales in the United States before October 2025?

18%