Question

Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?

6 comments6

Total Forecasters17

Community Prediction

20%

(19% - 62%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 20%

Authors:

DavidHume RyanBeck

Opened:

Sep 14, 2024

Closes:

Nov 30, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 15, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 17, 2024

Environment & Climate

Technology

EV owners now cover more miles per year than those driving petrol cars

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•Mar 26, 2025

BYD races past Tesla—surpasses $100 billion revenue milestone

•Mar 26, 2025

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Will electric vehicles make up more than 10% of new light duty vehicle sales in the United States before October 2025?

50%

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

12.5

What percentage of vehicles on US roads will be fully electric in 2030?

10.3

Comments

? comments

Authors:

DavidHume RyanBeck

Opened:

Sep 14, 2024

Closes:

Nov 30, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 15, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 17, 2024

Environment & Climate

Technology

EV owners now cover more miles per year than those driving petrol cars

Daily Mail•Mar 26, 2025

BYD Surpasses Tesla in Sales, Expands Global EV Market

•Mar 26, 2025

BYD races past Tesla—surpasses $100 billion revenue milestone

•Mar 26, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will electric vehicles make up more than 10% of new light duty vehicle sales in the United States before October 2025?

50%

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

12.5

What percentage of vehicles on US roads will be fully electric in 2030?

10.3