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2
11 forecasters
3
2 comments
11 forecasters
Conditional Cup
condition

Will the GOP win these battleground states?

Resolved:Yes
11 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will the GOP win these battleground states?

84%
84%
Resolved:Yes

Will the GOP win these battleground states?

47%
47%
Resolved:Annulled
if Yes(Yes)
if No47%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

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0 comments30 forecasters

Democrat wins 2026 gubernatorial election in these states?

Ohio44.5%
Nevada53%
Kansas34%
Iowa58%
13 others
8 comments25 forecasters

GOP Prez Nominee Win Massachusetts

2024result: No
20281%
20325%
20365%
5 others
0 comments54 forecasters

Democrat Wins 2026 Senate Election in these states?

Georgia83%
Iowa37.5%
Maine70%
Michigan74%
19 others
2 comments93 forecasters

US House maps show a ≥20 seat party advantage in these years?

2021-2022result: No
2023-2024result: No
2025-202620%
2027-202824%
0 comments93 forecasters

2 US governor/Senator candidates not conceding in these elections?

2021-2022result: No
2023-2024result: No
2025-202618%
2027-202826%
0 comments93 forecasters

≥3 Senate or governor races hold no debates in these years?

2021-2022result: No
2023-2024result: No
2025-202619%
2027-202823%
4 comments194 forecasters

Will court change winner of '26 election for House, Senate or statewide office?

6%chance
5 comments25 forecasters

US States Won by Non-Major Parties in 2028

1%chance