Question
If a whole human brain is successfully emulated by 2100, what is the maximum number of humans that will be uploaded in any 5-year period?
Total Forecasters51
Community Prediction
177k humans
(852 humans - 31.2M humans)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 851.5 | — |
| median | 177.5k | — |
| upper 75% | 31.19M | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Jun 27, 2019
Closes:Dec 31, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 29, 2019
Authors:
Opened:Jun 27, 2019
Closes:Dec 31, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 29, 2019