Question

Will Kennedy Iyere win the September 21, 2024 Edo state gubernatorial election in Nigeria?

Resolved:No

47 comments47

Total Forecasters25

Community Prediction

(1% - 5%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 3%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

0.0

Community Peer Score

0.0

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Sep 13, 2024

Closes:

Sep 14, 2024

Resolves:

Sep 22, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 14, 2024

Include Bots:Yes

Q3 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

2024 Leaderboard

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23%

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Sep 13, 2024

Closes:

Sep 14, 2024

Resolves:

Sep 22, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 14, 2024

Include Bots:Yes

Q3 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

2024 Leaderboard

Will Ugandan opposition leader Kizza Besigye be released from custody before September 2025?

12%

Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan remain President of Turkey until the next Turkish presidential election?

85%

Will Emerson Mnangagwa be president of Zimbabwe on January 1st, 2029?

23%