Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
17
113
forecasters
19
17 comments
113 forecasters
Geopolitics
In 2029, will the US have 3,800 or fewer nuclear weapons?
Predict
Follow
share
embed
67%
chance
Timeline
Histogram
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (17)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
2 comments
34 forecasters
If the US does not pursue nuclear disarmament, how many nuclear warheads will it have in 2029?
Current estimate
5197 warheads
1 comment
37 forecasters
Total Nuclear Weapons >20,000 by 2030
2.5%
chance
2 comments
21 forecasters
Number of Nuclear Weapons 2075
Current estimate
6774 weapons
0 comments
53 forecasters
Total Nuclear Disarmament before 2075
1.5%
chance
3 comments
17 forecasters
Number of Nuclear Weapons in 2050
Current estimate
10.7k weapons
11 comments
91 forecasters
Global Nuclear Warhead Stockpiles
5 comments
21 forecasters
Total Nuclear Yield >10,000 MT by 2029
17.6%
chance
1 comment
12 forecasters
Global Nuclear Disarmament Date
Current estimate
2201