35 comments
28 forecasters
Will a ChatGPT model be ranked #1 overall on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of the 3rd Quarter of 2024?
79%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 79% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Sep 16, 2024
Closes:Sep 17, 2024
Resolved:Oct 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 17, 2024
Include Bots:Yes