Question
Will a ChatGPT model be ranked #1 overall on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of the 3rd Quarter of 2024?
Resolved:YesTotal Forecasters28
Community Prediction
79%
(73.7% - 85%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?Yes
Community Baseline Score
0.0
Community Peer Score
0.0
Authors:
Opened:Sep 16, 2024
Closes:Sep 17, 2024
Resolves:Oct 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 17, 2024
Include Bots:Yes
Authors:
Opened:Sep 16, 2024
Closes:Sep 17, 2024
Resolves:Oct 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 17, 2024
Include Bots:Yes