Question

If and when the first whole human brain is successfully emulated, how much will 1 hour of subjective run time cost?

Total Forecasters41
Community Prediction
7223 $
(110 $ - 368k $)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<0.001 $0.9%
Quartiles
lower 25%110.2 $
median7223 $
upper 75%368.2k $
Upper bound
>1B $8.8%
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 13, 2019
Closes:Dec 31, 2036
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2300
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 15, 2019