17 comments
113 forecasters
Will there be another case of smallpox by the end of 2029?
5.9%chance
Forecast Timeline
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 3, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2029
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 5, 2019
Will wild influenza B/Yamagata be declared eradicated before 2030?
29.7% chance
31
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?
4% chance
206
Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?
62% chance
56