Question

Will the USDA-posted recall of Michael Foods Inc.'s Fair Meadow Foundations Liquid Egg Products issued June 30, 2024 be closed before October 1, 2024?

Resolved:Yes

99 comments99

Total Forecasters30

Community Prediction

70%

(40% - 80%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 70%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

0.0

Community Peer Score

0.0

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Sep 17, 2024

Closes:

Sep 18, 2024

Resolves:

Oct 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 18, 2024

Include Bots:Yes

Q3 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

2024 Leaderboard

How Recall of 20 Million Eggs Could Affect US Prices

Newsweek•Jun 18, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will California’s 2018 Proposition 12, "Prevention of Cruelty to Farm Animals Act", be in effect on January 1, 2026?

75%

Will the USDA's Center for Veterinary Biologics grant a license for a highly pathogenic avian influenza H5 vaccine in dairy cattle before July 1, 2025?

15%

Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Sep 17, 2024

Closes:

Sep 18, 2024

Resolves:

Oct 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 18, 2024

Include Bots:Yes

Q3 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

2024 Leaderboard

How Recall of 20 Million Eggs Could Affect US Prices

Newsweek•Jun 18, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will California’s 2018 Proposition 12, "Prevention of Cruelty to Farm Animals Act", be in effect on January 1, 2026?

75%

Will the USDA's Center for Veterinary Biologics grant a license for a highly pathogenic avian influenza H5 vaccine in dairy cattle before July 1, 2025?

15%