Question

Will the yield curve be inverted on Friday September 27, 2024?

Resolved:No

98 comments98

Total Forecasters31

Community Prediction

35%

(18.2% - 60%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 35%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

0.0

Community Peer Score

0.0

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Sep 17, 2024

Closes:

Sep 18, 2024

Resolves:

Sep 27, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 18, 2024

Include Bots:Yes

Q3 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

2024 Leaderboard

Will US federal interest rates at the end of 2025 be lower than at the end of 2024?

78%

Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?

45%

Will the US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index exceed its 2020 peak before 2029?

85%

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Sep 17, 2024

Closes:

Sep 18, 2024

Resolves:

Sep 27, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 18, 2024

Include Bots:Yes

Q3 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

2024 Leaderboard

Will US federal interest rates at the end of 2025 be lower than at the end of 2024?

78%

Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?

45%

Will the US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index exceed its 2020 peak before 2029?

85%