Question

[Short Fuse] Will there be a deadly attack within Israel causing at least five deaths before October 1, 2024?

Resolved:No
2
8
Total Forecasters34
Community Prediction
1%
(0.1% - 3%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
80.5
Community Peer Score
26.2
Authors:
IY
Opened:Sep 18, 2024
Closes:Sep 30, 2024
Resolves:Oct 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 20, 2024
Geopolitics
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