35 forecasters

[Short Fuse] Will there be a deadly attack within Israel causing at least five deaths before October 1, 2024?

1%chance

1%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Sep 18, 2024

Closes:

Sep 30, 2024

Resolved:

Oct 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 20, 2024

2024 Leaderboard

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