32 forecasters

Will a new constitutional amendment concerning firearms be ratified in the United States before 2029?

0.1%chance

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Authors:

Opened:

Sep 25, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2028

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2029

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 28, 2024

🗽Forecast the State of the Union 🗽

Supreme Court Case Could Restore Gun Rights to Millions of Americans

Townhall•Oct 21, 2025

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Red State•Oct 21, 2025

Supreme Court will consider whether people who regularly smoke pot can legally own guns

PBS NewsHour•Oct 21, 2025

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