Questions
Tournaments
Services
News

Questions
Tournaments

Questions

Questions

32 forecasters

1

32 forecasters

🗽Forecast the State of the Union

Will a new constitutional amendment concerning firearms be ratified in the United States before 2029?

0.1%chance

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Add key factor

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestions Tournaments Tournaments for AI bots FutureEval

ServicesLaunch a Tournament Private Instances Pro Forecasters

CompanyAboutCareers FAQ

ResourcesForecasting Resources For Journalists API

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

28 comments133 forecasters

Will a new amendment to the US Constitution be ratified by 2050?

4 comments49 forecasters

US Constitution allows third term by Nov 2028?

9 comments37 forecasters

Will the US National Guard shoot a civilian?

2 comments16 forecasters

Will US add new state before 2036?

1 comment167 forecasters

AI safety checks mandated before Jan 20, 2029?

11 comments205 forecasters

Will the size of the US Supreme Court increase during Trump's second term?

1 comment36 forecasters

Will a marijuana banking bill pass before the 2026 midterm elections?

1 comment14 forecasters

IVF protections at a federal level by 2030?