169 forecasters

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution before 2030?

8%chance

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Authors:

pashka24 Emi anna.k.hennig EdwardStoppard

Opened:

Sep 21, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 22, 2024

Hamas Unlikely to Comply Fully With Trump's Peace Deal

Red State•Oct 1, 2025

Trump announced his 20-point Gaza peace plan. What comes next?

CNN•Oct 1, 2025

5 takeaways from the U.S. ceasefire proposal for Israel and Hamas

NPR Online News•Sep 30, 2025

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