170 forecasters

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution before 2030?

10%chance

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Authors:

pashka24 Emi anna.k.hennig EdwardStoppard

Opened:

Sep 21, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 22, 2024