Question

Will there be a deadly attack within Israel causing at least five deaths before October 1, 2024?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters32
Community Prediction
44%
(25% - 55.3%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 44%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
0.0
Community Peer Score
0.0
Opened:Sep 19, 2024
Closes:Sep 20, 2024
Resolves:Oct 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 20, 2024
Include Bots:Yes