108 forecasters

Will Israel invade Lebanon before January 1, 2025?

99%chance

99%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 99% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Sep 20, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2025

Resolved:

Oct 2, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 23, 2024

2024 Leaderboard

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