Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
7
20
forecasters
5
7 comments
20 forecasters
Metaculus
1 more...
When will the Metaculus open source rewrite go live?
Follow
share
embed
community
07 Oct 2024 12:51
result
07 Oct 2024 09:02 UTC
Resolved
07 Oct 2024 09:02 UTC
Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (7)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
36 comments
117 forecasters
Date of Last Metaculus Resolution
Current estimate
Mar 2047
10 comments
60 forecasters
Will Metaculus, or a licensed derivative, be operated as a public site by a publicly traded company by 2030?
2.4%
chance
1 comment
3 forecasters
When will open‑source Earth system simulation (<1 km resolution) be available?
Current estimate
Jun 2031
86 comments
166 forecasters
Total Number of Metaculus Predictions
0 comments
64 forecasters
When will an AI achieve an score of 1.5 or higher in the RE-bench at any time budget between 8h and 32h?
Current estimate
16 Nov 2027
0 comments
12 forecasters
Date Anthropic reaches ASL-4?
Current estimate
24 Jan 2028
0 comments
11 forecasters
When will Claude Opus 4.6 stop being available on web?
Current estimate
03 Sep 2026
55 comments
539 forecasters
Metaculus Existence in 2030
98%
chance