6 comments
28 forecasters
Will the Metaculus community correctly predict the winner of the 2024 US presidential election?
55.9%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 56% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Sep 28, 2024
Closes:Oct 15, 2024
Resolved:Jan 23, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 30, 2024
Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?
35% chance
1.1k
Will the next U.S. President have a beard or mustache when elected?
25% chance
22
Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?
175 forecasters