Question
Will the Metaculus community correctly predict the winner of the 2024 US presidential election?
Resolved:NoTotal Forecasters27
Community Prediction
55.9%
(51% - 60%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?No
Community Baseline Score
-20.9
Community Peer Score
35.0
Authors:
Opened:Sep 28, 2024
Closes:Oct 15, 2024
Resolves:Jan 7, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 30, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Sep 28, 2024
Closes:Oct 15, 2024
Resolves:Jan 7, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 30, 2024
