12 comments
87 forecasters
Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?
57%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 57% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jul 16, 2016
Closes:Nov 15, 2016
Resolved:Feb 16, 2017
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 18, 2016
If the U.S. Supreme Court grants certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell, will it rule in favor of Monsanto?
80% chance
17
Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell before January 15, 2026?
50% chance
31
Will gene editing of human embryos for therapeutic purposes be officially approved by any country before 2035?
60% chance
8