conditional
if yes
if no
Make a Prediction
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) | US Marginal Tax Rate for $100k in 2029? |
|---|---|
| My Prediction: - | |
| My Prediction: - |
CDF
The question "Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Donald Trump)" has closed, so these conditionals are closed for forecasting. They will resolve when the question "What will the marginal tax rate on a married couple filing jointly be on their next dollar of income above $100,000 (in 2024 USD) in 2029?" resolves.
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <15% | 2.7% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 21.29% | — |
| median | 22.23% | — |
| upper 75% | 23.52% | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >30% | 1.8% | — |
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Sep 25, 2024
Closed:Nov 7, 2024
Scheduled resolution:Dec 1, 2028
Authors:
Opened:Sep 25, 2024
Closed:Nov 7, 2024
Scheduled resolution:Dec 1, 2028