conditional
if yes
if no
Make a Prediction
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) | Mass Shootings in the US? (2028) |
|---|---|
| My Prediction: - | |
| My Prediction: - |
CDF
The question "Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Donald Trump)" has closed, so these conditionals are closed for forecasting. They will resolve when the question "How many mass shootings will be reported in the United States in the following years? (2028)" resolves.
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <300 | 2.8% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 647.7 | — |
| median | 753.9 | — |
| upper 75% | 853.4 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >1200 | 5.0% | — |
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Sep 25, 2024
Closed:Nov 7, 2024
Scheduled resolution:Feb 1, 2029
Authors:
Opened:Sep 25, 2024
Closed:Nov 7, 2024
Scheduled resolution:Feb 1, 2029