Question
When will an AI system, operating independently, solve or determine the undecidability of a Millennium Prize Problem and have its proof or disproof published in a peer-reviewed mathematics journal?
Total Forecasters17
Community Prediction
Dec 2035
(<01 Jan 2030 - Aug 2045)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <01 Jan 2030 | 26.5% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | <01 Jan 2030 | — |
| median | Dec 2035 | — |
| upper 75% | Aug 2045 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2070 | 7.3% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 1, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2070
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2070
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 4, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Oct 1, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2070
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2070
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 4, 2024