Question
When will the sixth Starship integrated flight test achieve liftoff?
Resolved:19 Nov 2024 22:00Total Forecasters49
Community Prediction
19 Nov 2024 20:33
(19 Nov 2024 06:14 - 20 Nov 2024 12:50)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <01 Nov 2024 | 0.1% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 19 Nov 2024 06:14 | — |
| median | 19 Nov 2024 20:33 | — |
| upper 75% | 20 Nov 2024 12:50 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >31 Dec 2024 | 1.0% | — |
What was the final result?19 Nov 2024 22:00
Community Baseline Score
9.1
Community Peer Score
19.2
Authors:
Opened:Oct 16, 2024
Closes:Dec 30, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 18, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Oct 16, 2024
Closes:Dec 30, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 18, 2024