26 forecasters

Will Israel exist as a country on January 1, 2060?

93%chance

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Authors:

Opened:

Feb 20, 2025

Closes:

Dec 31, 2059

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2060

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 25, 2025

Does international recognition mean Palestine is going to be a state?

Al Jazeera•Sep 26, 2025

UK, France and other Western nations recognize Palestinian state ahead of UN meetings – but symbolic action won’t make statehood happen

The Conversation•Sep 23, 2025

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