Question
When will a European Union ban into non-commercial internal combustion engines take effect?
Total Forecasters23
Community Prediction
Aug 2040
(Jan 2038 - Nov 2043)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <01 Jan 2030 | 0.7% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | Jan 2038 | — |
| median | Aug 2040 | — |
| upper 75% | Nov 2043 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2050 | 12.0% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 26, 2024
Closes:Jan 2, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 30, 2024
What will be the share of global light vehicles sold which are zero-emission vehicles in the following years?
26.6
Will California carry through with Governor Newsom's plan to sell only zero-emission electric cars and passenger trucks by 2035?
47%
What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?
13
Authors:
Opened:Oct 26, 2024
Closes:Jan 2, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 30, 2024
What will be the share of global light vehicles sold which are zero-emission vehicles in the following years?
26.6
Will California carry through with Governor Newsom's plan to sell only zero-emission electric cars and passenger trucks by 2035?
47%
What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?
13