Question

When will a European Union ban into non-commercial internal combustion engines take effect?

3 comments3

Total Forecasters24

Community Prediction

Dec 2039

(Feb 2037 - May 2043)

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CDF

	<01 Jan 2030	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>Jan 2050
community	0.7%	Feb 2037	Dec 2039	May 2043	10.6%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<01 Jan 2030	0.7%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	Feb 2037	—
median	Dec 2039	—
upper 75%	May 2043	—
Upper bound
>Jan 2050	10.6%	—

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Authors:

Carlos244

Opened:

Oct 26, 2024

Closes:

Jan 2, 2050

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2050

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 30, 2024

Environment & Climate

Law

Politics

What will be the share of global light vehicles sold which are zero-emission vehicles in the following years?

26.4

Will California carry through with Governor Newsom's plan to sell only zero-emission electric cars and passenger trucks by 2035?

47%

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

11.2

Authors:

Carlos244

Opened:

Oct 26, 2024

Closes:

Jan 2, 2050

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2050

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 30, 2024

Environment & Climate

Law

Politics

What will be the share of global light vehicles sold which are zero-emission vehicles in the following years?

26.4

Will California carry through with Governor Newsom's plan to sell only zero-emission electric cars and passenger trucks by 2035?

47%

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

11.2